Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.746320 4.326052 4.966457 5.726518 6.604309 7.586650 8.770069
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.011388 3.779797 4.701673 5.889883 7.382331 9.197044 11.574918
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.378753 3.209986 4.281385 5.765190 7.770499 10.392041 14.089420
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.896295 2.729307 3.873795 5.563773 8.002090 11.403079 16.526791
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.628664 2.485159 3.732059 5.683705 8.672150 13.093747 20.168138
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.362271 2.191981 3.465139 5.566411 8.963174 14.266663 23.231564
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.248131 2.109545 3.497393 5.903527 9.993975 16.708108 28.653761
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.129262 1.997413 3.460632 6.115782 10.845243 18.976979 34.149757
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.998871 1.842982 3.326551 6.135286 11.360539 20.741670 39.040214
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.843495 1.618597 3.034984 5.824541 11.228521 21.329515 41.865800
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.786974 1.568067 3.049741 6.080700 12.185304 24.046861 49.144378
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.756745 1.562978 3.147866 6.509642 13.537207 27.708029 58.860101
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.695245 1.489303 3.107844 6.669932 14.403581 30.598344 67.614663
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.629393 1.396506 3.015727 6.708452 15.024462 33.086235 75.957226
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.549413 1.260676 2.812946 6.475533 15.017410 34.229455 81.509351
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.477401 1.131191 2.604317 6.195321 14.855855 34.998421 86.318559
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.441359 1.079264 2.562334 6.295190 15.599467 37.963989 96.925306
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.393630 0.991938 2.425171 6.144665 15.712421 39.446567 104.099389
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.380897 0.988948 2.489437 6.503748 17.158684 44.431918 121.186561
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.361479 0.965912 2.500759 6.729184 18.296928 48.816575 137.454493
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.333491 0.916062 2.436589 6.745290 18.880293 51.842393 150.520001
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.292415 0.824582 2.250303 6.400153 18.415713 51.971085 155.369857
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.281783 0.815953 2.285324 6.679861 19.765362 57.349545 176.605372